Escenarios para el sector energético europeo - eXtremOS

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In eXtremOS, we are developing pictures of the future European energy system. Using our holistic European energy system model, we map the coupling of European electricity markets and scenarios until 2050 in Europe. We model the European nations, but our analytical focus lies on Germany, Austria and their electrical neighbours. What will the energy system of the future look like if we aim for approximate greenhouse gas neutrality in 2050, or if we fail to achieve climate targets? Starting from potential future scenarios such as these, our model landscape lets us tackle questions regarding the state of the European energy system in 2050. In addition, we address transformation paths to 2050, which are characterized by extreme regulatory and technological developments. These include the decline in prices of future-relevant technologies and an earlier achievement of climate targets. 

The uniqueness of the three-year research project eXtremOS results from our extreme scenario process and the holistic European energy system model landscape. The latter consists of nine connected models, which allow us to achieve a high level of detail in energy demand and supply modeling. The model depth reaches across Europe up to a spatial resolution of districts (NUTS-3) and a temporal resolution of one hour. Various studies have already investigated questions regarding future energy system transformation pathways. However, these studies mainly focus on the investigation of a country or group of countries, while disregarding developments in neighboring regions. In eXtremOS, we address the European energy system and interdependencies between European countries are considered.