Tim Harford resume este interesantísimo artículo en el que nos cuentan que algunos se empeñan en mantener las intuiciones generadas por el sistema 1, aunque sea incorrecto y se lo digan.
This paper presents 59 new studies (N = 72,310) which focus primarily on the “bat and ball problem.” It documents our attempts to understand the determinants of the erroneous intuition, our exploration of ways to stimulate reflection, and our discovery that the erroneous intuition often survives whatever further reflection can be induced. Our investigation helps inform conceptions of dual process models, as “system 1” processes often appear to override or corrupt “system 2” processes. Many choose to uphold their intuition, even when directly confronted with simple arithmetic that contradicts it – especially if the intuition is approximately correct.
Harford lo extrapola a la capacidad de identificar noticias falsas en la web, siguiendo a un psicólogo llamado Pennycook que nos dice que:
“There’s always 20 per cent,” he offers, somewhat tongue in cheek. “Twenty per cent of people have crazy beliefs, 20 per cent of people are highly authoritarian.” And 20 per cent of people will not write down the right answer to a maths problem even when it’s handed to them on a plate, because they trust their gut more than they trust some tricksy experimenter.
O a lo mejor es la "ignorancia voluntaria"...en cualquier caso, Harford se queda preocupado.
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