viernes, 17 de noviembre de 2023

¿Es posible el net-zero en 2050?

 Pues ojalá que sí...pero John Deutch dice que no, y de camino pone a caldo los objetivos aspiracionales (¿alguien se da por aludido?)

If the Net-zero goals are to be realistic, they require adopting policies, plans and implementation, stable over several decades, accompanied by outlays of trillions of dollars annually. Such an extended, determined national effort is often said to be “the moral equivalent of war” (as described by philosopher William James in his famous 1910 essay).
¿Cómo solucionarlo?

A very likely possibility is that countries will continue to muddle through with existing policies without recognizing or admitting the reality that Net-zero will not happen. A second, less likely possibility is that a group of countries will propose and guarantee a combined emission reduction and payment mechanism to get the globe started on a credible Net-zero path. This is unlikely because it would mean abandoning the UN FCCC and disenfranchising many nations. This possibility of dividing the globe into regions with the larger developed countries taking responsibility for each, e.g., The EU for Africa and the Near East, the U.S. for the western hemisphere, Japan and China for the Far East, the U.K. for India. Of course, there are lots of complications in making such a division.

Vale la pena leerlo entero.

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