Hecha con un modelo de equilibrio general, y no con una prueba real (de las que hay realmente pocas y de corto plazo). Su conclusión es que la UBI genera pérdidas de bienestar grandes, debidas fundamentalmente a las interrelaciones dinámicas de la economía.
Universal basic income (UBI) is an increasingly popular policy proposal, but there is no evidence regarding its longer-term consequences. We find that UBI generates large welfare losses in a general equilibrium model with imperfect capital markets, labor market shocks, and intergenerational linkages via skill formation and transfers. This conclusion is robust to various alternative ways of financing UBI. By using observationally equivalent models that eliminate different sources of endogenous dynamic linkages (equilibrium capital market and parental investment in child skills), we show that the latter are largely responsible for the negative welfare consequences.
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